First Call Estimates

First Call Estimates

Analyst Ratings

Mean Recommendation:

2.00

Sell

Strong Buy

Reference Information - Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 7.24
FY0 End Date: 9/1/20
Ind. Annual Div: 2.48
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: 26.57
Yield (%): 1.13

Analyst Forecasts - Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 9/1/23 10.18 10.18 10.18 10.18 1 1 -- 0.39
Annual 9/1/22 8.63 9.17 8.00 8.75 7 1 -- 0.30
Annual 9/1/21 8.26 8.45 8.17 8.24 8 1 -- 0.32
Quarterly 3/1/21 5.46 6.04 4.73 5.49 5 1 -- 3.14
Quarterly 6/1/21 3.75 4.23 3.41 3.73 5 -- 1 -5.73
Quarterly 9/1/21 -0.17 -- -0.38 -0.18 5 1 -- 34.11
Quarterly 12/1/20 -0.77 -0.57 -0.85 -0.82 6 1 -- 1.71

Actuals - Earnings Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 9/1/20 7.24 7.25 -0.14
Annual 9/1/19 4.47 4.51 -0.91
Annual 9/1/18 3.71 3.77 -1.52
Quarterly 9/1/20 0.06 0.10 -35.00
Quarterly 6/1/20 3.80 3.37 12.65
Quarterly 3/1/20 4.50 4.18 7.66
Quarterly 12/1/19 -1.12 -1.27 12.11

Reference Information - Book Value Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 12.60
FY0 End Date: 9/1/20
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Book Value Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 9/1/22 58.82 58.82 58.82 58.82 1 -- -- --
Annual 9/1/21 57.78 57.78 57.78 57.78 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Book Value Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 9/1/20 12.60 58.87 -78.59
Annual 9/1/19 13.03 -- --
Annual 9/1/18 6.49 -- --

Reference Information - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 9.81
FY0 End Date: 9/1/20
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Cash Flow Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 9/1/22 9.73 10.47 8.98 9.73 2 -- -- --
Annual 9/1/21 7.90 8.50 7.30 7.90 2 -- -- --

Actuals - Cash Flow Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 9/1/20 9.81 8.70 12.76
Annual 9/1/19 4.03 4.69 -14.07
Annual 9/1/18 6.00 6.93 -13.42

Reference Information - Dividend Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 2.40
FY0 End Date: 9/1/20
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Dividend Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 9/1/23 2.90 2.90 2.90 2.90 1 -- -- --
Annual 9/1/22 2.68 2.76 2.58 2.70 3 -- -- --
Annual 9/1/21 4.16 7.45 2.51 2.52 3 -- -- --
Quarterly 3/1/21 0.62 0.62 0.62 0.62 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/21 0.62 0.62 0.62 0.62 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/21 0.65 0.65 0.65 0.65 1 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/20 0.62 0.62 0.62 0.62 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Dividend Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 9/1/20 2.40 2.36 1.69
Annual 9/1/19 2.23 2.25 -0.79
Annual 9/1/18 2.14 2.16 -1.08
Quarterly 9/1/20 0.62 0.62 --
Quarterly 6/1/20 0.62 0.58 6.90
Quarterly 3/1/20 0.58 0.58 --
Quarterly 12/1/19 0.58 0.58 --

Reference Information - EBIT

Last Actual (FY0): 602.00
FY0 End Date: 9/1/20
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBIT

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 9/1/23 800.20 800.20 800.20 800.20 1 1 -- 0.25
Annual 9/1/22 705.85 745.10 656.00 702.05 6 1 -- 0.31
Annual 9/1/21 689.40 711.00 667.00 686.50 6 1 -- 0.37
Quarterly 3/1/21 438.75 460.50 420.80 436.85 4 1 -- 3.56
Quarterly 6/1/21 287.98 302.20 274.60 287.55 4 -- 1 -6.68
Quarterly 9/1/21 7.08 10.50 3.30 7.25 4 1 -- 1,188.46
Quarterly 12/1/20 -44.15 -34.20 -50.00 -46.20 4 1 -- 3.55

Actuals - EBIT

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 9/1/20 602.00 614.28 -2.00
Annual 9/1/19 422.90 427.65 -1.11
Annual 9/1/18 351.70 364.27 -3.45
Quarterly 9/1/20 9.10 19.74 -53.90
Quarterly 6/1/20 300.40 270.76 10.95
Quarterly 3/1/20 357.40 320.34 11.57
Quarterly 12/1/19 -64.80 -74.58 13.11

Reference Information - EBITDA

Last Actual (FY0): 766.60
FY0 End Date: 9/1/20
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - EBITDA

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 9/1/23 936.40 936.40 936.40 936.40 1 1 -- 0.26
Annual 9/1/22 832.18 884.80 750.00 845.70 6 1 -- 0.28
Annual 9/1/21 816.88 847.10 762.00 825.40 6 1 -- 0.34
Quarterly 3/1/21 458.90 496.80 396.00 459.50 5 1 -- 2.72
Quarterly 6/1/21 329.63 351.00 308.60 332.40 5 -- 1 -4.75
Quarterly 9/1/21 39.34 50.98 22.00 40.80 5 1 -- 18.85
Quarterly 12/1/20 -9.57 -1.40 -17.33 -9.60 5 1 -- 12.45

Actuals - EBITDA

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 9/1/20 766.60 753.57 1.73
Annual 9/1/19 558.20 553.46 0.86
Annual 9/1/18 482.00 473.54 1.79
Quarterly 9/1/20 61.70 60.44 2.08
Quarterly 6/1/20 345.10 301.85 14.33
Quarterly 3/1/20 394.20 350.25 12.55
Quarterly 12/1/19 -34.70 -44.06 21.24

Reference Information - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Actual (FY0): 6.96
FY0 End Date: 9/1/20
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 9/1/23 10.40 10.40 10.40 10.40 1 1 -- 0.39
Annual 9/1/22 8.56 9.37 8.00 8.43 4 1 -- 0.56
Annual 9/1/21 8.34 8.63 8.17 8.28 4 1 -- 0.63
Quarterly 3/1/21 5.11 5.49 4.73 5.11 2 -- -- --
Quarterly 6/1/21 3.98 4.23 3.73 3.98 2 -- -- --
Quarterly 9/1/21 -0.20 -0.18 -0.21 -0.20 2 -- -- --
Quarterly 12/1/20 -0.63 -0.57 -0.68 -0.63 2 -- -- --

Actuals - GAAP Earnings Per Share

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 9/1/20 6.96 6.89 1.06
Annual 9/1/19 8.18 8.04 1.74
Annual 9/1/18 1.12 3.39 -66.99
Quarterly 9/1/20 0.07 -0.05 120.00
Quarterly 6/1/20 3.55 3.12 13.96
Quarterly 3/1/20 4.47 3.93 13.74
Quarterly 12/1/19 -1.28 -1.29 0.58

Reference Information - Net Debt

Last Actual (FY0): 1,504.90
FY0 End Date: 9/1/20
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Debt

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 9/1/23 -579.00 -579.00 -579.00 -579.00 1 1 -- 3.82
Annual 9/1/22 -969.00 -969.00 -969.00 -969.00 1 1 -- 2.02
Annual 9/1/21 -1,323.00 -1,323.00 -1,323.00 -1,323.00 1 1 -- 0.15

Actuals - Net Debt

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 9/1/20 1,504.90 1,563.00 -3.72
Annual 9/1/19 1,632.80 -- --
Annual 9/1/18 1,982.50 -- --

Reference Information - Net Income

Last Actual (FY0): 411.70
FY0 End Date: 9/1/20
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Net Income

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 9/1/23 579.00 579.00 579.00 579.00 1 1 -- 0.35
Annual 9/1/22 488.42 522.00 453.00 491.25 6 1 -- 0.34
Annual 9/1/21 472.87 480.80 465.00 472.90 6 1 -- 0.42
Quarterly 3/1/21 310.82 343.80 265.00 310.50 5 1 -- 3.13
Quarterly 6/1/21 213.88 236.00 196.60 213.90 5 -- 1 -5.75
Quarterly 9/1/21 -10.50 -- -21.80 -10.00 5 1 -- 32.08
Quarterly 12/1/20 -43.52 -35.00 -49.20 -47.50 5 1 -- 2.25

Actuals - Net Income

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 9/1/20 411.70 409.13 0.63
Annual 9/1/19 251.80 253.77 -0.78
Annual 9/1/18 211.60 215.47 -1.79
Quarterly 9/1/20 3.50 3.36 1.40
Quarterly 6/1/20 216.80 188.30 15.14
Quarterly 3/1/20 253.80 226.34 12.13
Quarterly 12/1/19 -62.40 -71.69 12.96

Reference Information - Operating Profit

Last Actual (FY0): -183.30
FY0 End Date:
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Operating Profit

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 9/1/22 -134.80 -134.80 -134.80 -134.80 1 -- -- --
Annual 9/1/21 -134.80 -134.80 -134.80 -134.80 1 -- -- --

Actuals - Operating Profit

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 9/1/20 -183.30 -180.80 -1.38

Reference Information - Return On Equity

Last Actual (FY0): 57.74
FY0 End Date: 9/1/20
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Return On Equity

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 9/1/22 49.65 52.70 46.60 49.65 2 -- -- --
Annual 9/1/21 59.60 64.30 54.90 59.60 2 -- -- --

Actuals - Return On Equity

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 9/1/20 57.74 57.10 0.64
Annual 9/1/19 46.51 58.98 -12.47
Annual 9/1/18 41.44 35.68 5.76

Reference Information - Sales

Last Actual (FY0): 4,131.60
FY0 End Date: 9/1/20
Ind. Annual Div: --
Hist (5 Yr) Growth %: --
Yield (%): --

Analyst Forecasts - Sales

Last Month Revisions
Last Month Revisions
Fiscal Period Mean High Low Median # of Estimates # Up # Down Mean % Change
Annual 9/1/23 4,849.90 4,849.90 4,849.90 4,849.90 1 1 -- 0.27
Annual 9/1/22 4,402.61 4,570.90 4,206.00 4,397.50 6 1 -- 0.04
Annual 9/1/21 4,294.98 4,373.00 4,191.00 4,310.50 6 1 -- 0.21
Quarterly 3/1/21 1,565.70 1,630.00 1,501.00 1,570.09 5 1 -- 1.09
Quarterly 6/1/21 1,357.94 1,437.00 1,308.00 1,348.80 5 -- 1 -2.24
Quarterly 9/1/21 736.13 787.10 687.00 730.00 5 -- 1 -1.47
Quarterly 12/1/20 623.98 655.90 566.00 632.39 5 1 -- 6.16

Actuals - Sales

Reported Mean Estimate Surprise % Change
Annual 9/1/20 4,131.60 4,129.27 0.06
Annual 9/1/19 3,156.00 3,109.83 1.48
Annual 9/1/18 2,663.40 2,667.16 -0.14
Quarterly 9/1/20 890.30 889.14 0.13
Quarterly 6/1/20 1,492.70 1,305.53 14.34
Quarterly 3/1/20 1,382.80 1,325.03 4.36
Quarterly 12/1/19 365.80 341.67 7.06

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